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WON JACKPOT LOTTERY!!!!

Discussion in 'Hot Spam' started by mckiko, Jan 1, 2017.

  1. Ranzi

    Ranzi Lamora

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    1k credit for me
     
    toby likes this.
  2. Junmelyap

    Junmelyap New Member

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    Hoping...
     
  3. Darkwolvez

    Darkwolvez DemonGodEater

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    what if you won the jackpot?
    Ans: If i won the lottery! i will post it so everyone will know!
    what can u do for 100K+ creds?
    Ans: The first 10 people who will send a message will received a WoC 2!
     
    ianjaydec11 likes this.
  4. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

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    Beginning of day 2 and 629 tickets have been sold :) 5 days to go.
    By the way based on initial statistics from sample historical data, the proportions are as follows:
    0 matches - around 33-43% of tickets
    1 match - around 45-48% of tickets
    2 matches - around 11-15% of tickets
    3 matches - around 1% of tickets
    4 matches - 0% (apparently 1 person did get this in some past lottery)
    In the past, 0 matches and 1 match (and sometimes 2 matches) were losing money on lottery. However, due to the size of this pot, statistically speaking there is expected profit up until around 3000 tickets sold at which point there is a switch to expected loss due to the split being way too high.
    The expected profit based on current number of tickets sold is around 85 credits per ticket (this is the average, meaning some people will get more, some less).

    In any case, if historical splits hold true, the expected profits per ticket (after deduction of buying cost) between 650-3000 total tickets sold are as follows:
    0 matches - 0
    1 match - 101 (650 tickets sold) / 7 (3000 tickets sold)
    2 matches - 144 (650 tickets sold) / 23 (3000 tickets sold)
    3 matches - 3827 (650 tickets sold) / 1417 (3000 tickets sold)
    4 matches - unknown, don't have data of an actual win, but assuming historical splits hold true whoever gets here will get around 30% of the pot for himself

    So yea realistically speaking don't expect to get more than around 3.5k credits if you get lucky.
     
    Katansin and Patatas like this.
  5. mistereo

    mistereo Proficient

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    if this is a dream, please make it happen. i don't like cravin' tho
     
  6. Demoshield

    Demoshield New Member

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    Hmm maybe hoping for that sir Zarcit here hehe
     
  7. Patzake

    Patzake Getting there

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  8. alpha_sorcerer

    alpha_sorcerer Proficient

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    Each item will now be 5,000 credits......LMAO!
     
  9. Puddles

    Puddles Tͮh͌̀ͩe̅̋̔̓ͣ̎͟ ̔ͫ̈́̾ͩG͗́̓o͐̍d̊̊̄d͑̔̎͑ ̋̾͏e ̏̏ͬ͌s̶s͛ Forum Legend

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    Actually, no.
    More like something I've wanted to have implemented for a while which will be more than good for everyone that plays.
    I have a lot to work out with Lau and Carl on it though, seeing how there is still a flow and dev outline to go through. Then the actual making and testing, and blah blah stuff you don't care about blah.

    In short. Good thing.
     
  10. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

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    I do care, but i guess as a player, asking for that kind of thing would be rude. it's always nice to know things...
     
  11. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

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    Let's wind the clocks back a year or a bit more... things were Fair priced (even for me as a non donator user), when being VIP felt like being VIP.. better enchant rates for items, better success rate for Manastones, etc etc. phat loots from FUNCTIONING DUNGEONS... Dayum man, enchanting is very asian-retail alike. Im just expressing my PoV. Please do not read it as a complain <3 etc etc etc...
     
  12. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

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    Day 3 isn't over yet, 1091 tickets have been sold :)
     
  13. Katansin

    Katansin Proficient

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    Well! I expect to win 500 credits or more cuz that's what I have spent with the tickets
     
  14. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

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    As long as ticket sales remain under 3000, the expected profit per ticket is positive, meaning people should on average at least cover their initial cost and get a little extra. Based on current number of sales and time remaining, I don't expect ticket sales to hit this number before the lottery ends, meaning most people will actually make a bit of money (assuming they bought multiple tickets while picking different numbers each time as that increases chance of a match).
     
    Katansin likes this.
  15. Destiny

    Destiny ✮The Hoarder✮

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    Hi puddles, mail me an awakened celestial guard chain set please, thanks in advance :eek:
     
  16. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

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    SHAME.... SHAME... SHAME... - CONFESS - Nyerk!
     
  17. Arguedasarg

    Arguedasarg New Member

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    i Want xD :3
     
  18. torotot

    torotot Proficient

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    Im a pinoy xD goodluck to you xD Just mail it thanks xD
    -Shabuuuu
     
  19. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

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    1240 tickets sold, seems like sales have finally slowed down. This lottery should be quite profitable for most people :)
     
  20. Noyah

    Noyah ᴜɴғᴏʀɢᴇᴛᴛᴀʙʟᴇ Staff Member Admin

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    How do you even know how many tickets sold?
     
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