Loading...
  1. Dismiss Notice
  2. Dismiss Notice
  3. Dismiss Notice
  4. Dismiss Notice
  5. Dismiss Notice
  6. Dismiss Notice
  7. If this is your first visit, you may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

WON JACKPOT LOTTERY!!!!

Discussion in 'Hot Spam' started by mckiko, Jan 1, 2017.

  1. Ranzi

    Ranzi Lamora

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2016
    Messages:
    162
    Likes Received:
    64
    Trophy Points:
    248
    Location:
    Bali Island
    1k credit for me
     
    toby likes this.
  2. Junmelyap

    Junmelyap New Member

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2016
    Messages:
    45
    Likes Received:
    36
    Trophy Points:
    203
    Location:
    Sindria
    Hoping...
     
  3. Darkwolvez

    Darkwolvez DemonGodEater

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2015
    Messages:
    117
    Likes Received:
    33
    Trophy Points:
    178
    what if you won the jackpot?
    Ans: If i won the lottery! i will post it so everyone will know!
    what can u do for 100K+ creds?
    Ans: The first 10 people who will send a message will received a WoC 2!
     
    ianjaydec11 likes this.
  4. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 1, 2010
    Messages:
    10,670
    Likes Received:
    5,397
    Trophy Points:
    588
    Beginning of day 2 and 629 tickets have been sold :) 5 days to go.
    By the way based on initial statistics from sample historical data, the proportions are as follows:
    0 matches - around 33-43% of tickets
    1 match - around 45-48% of tickets
    2 matches - around 11-15% of tickets
    3 matches - around 1% of tickets
    4 matches - 0% (apparently 1 person did get this in some past lottery)
    In the past, 0 matches and 1 match (and sometimes 2 matches) were losing money on lottery. However, due to the size of this pot, statistically speaking there is expected profit up until around 3000 tickets sold at which point there is a switch to expected loss due to the split being way too high.
    The expected profit based on current number of tickets sold is around 85 credits per ticket (this is the average, meaning some people will get more, some less).

    In any case, if historical splits hold true, the expected profits per ticket (after deduction of buying cost) between 650-3000 total tickets sold are as follows:
    0 matches - 0
    1 match - 101 (650 tickets sold) / 7 (3000 tickets sold)
    2 matches - 144 (650 tickets sold) / 23 (3000 tickets sold)
    3 matches - 3827 (650 tickets sold) / 1417 (3000 tickets sold)
    4 matches - unknown, don't have data of an actual win, but assuming historical splits hold true whoever gets here will get around 30% of the pot for himself

    So yea realistically speaking don't expect to get more than around 3.5k credits if you get lucky.
     
    Katansin and Patatas like this.
  5. mistereo

    mistereo Proficient

    Joined:
    May 22, 2016
    Messages:
    107
    Likes Received:
    36
    Trophy Points:
    73
    Location:
    Cebu, Philippines
    if this is a dream, please make it happen. i don't like cravin' tho
     
  6. Demoshield

    Demoshield New Member

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    10
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    233
    Hmm maybe hoping for that sir Zarcit here hehe
     
  7. Patzake

    Patzake Getting there

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2015
    Messages:
    88
    Likes Received:
    77
    Trophy Points:
    203
  8. alpha_sorcerer

    alpha_sorcerer Proficient

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2010
    Messages:
    142
    Likes Received:
    20
    Trophy Points:
    238
    Each item will now be 5,000 credits......LMAO!
     
  9. Puddles

    Puddles Tͮh͌̀ͩe̅̋̔̓ͣ̎͟ ̔ͫ̈́̾ͩG͗́̓o͐̍d̊̊̄d͑̔̎͑ ̋̾͏e ̏̏ͬ͌s̶s͛ Forum Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 29, 2010
    Messages:
    5,496
    Likes Received:
    5,393
    Trophy Points:
    568
    Location:
    Behind You
    Actually, no.
    More like something I've wanted to have implemented for a while which will be more than good for everyone that plays.
    I have a lot to work out with Lau and Carl on it though, seeing how there is still a flow and dev outline to go through. Then the actual making and testing, and blah blah stuff you don't care about blah.

    In short. Good thing.
     
  10. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2016
    Messages:
    163
    Likes Received:
    48
    Trophy Points:
    283
    Location:
    Puerto Varas, Chile.
    I do care, but i guess as a player, asking for that kind of thing would be rude. it's always nice to know things...
     
  11. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2016
    Messages:
    163
    Likes Received:
    48
    Trophy Points:
    283
    Location:
    Puerto Varas, Chile.
    Let's wind the clocks back a year or a bit more... things were Fair priced (even for me as a non donator user), when being VIP felt like being VIP.. better enchant rates for items, better success rate for Manastones, etc etc. phat loots from FUNCTIONING DUNGEONS... Dayum man, enchanting is very asian-retail alike. Im just expressing my PoV. Please do not read it as a complain <3 etc etc etc...
     
  12. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 1, 2010
    Messages:
    10,670
    Likes Received:
    5,397
    Trophy Points:
    588
    Day 3 isn't over yet, 1091 tickets have been sold :)
     
  13. Katansin

    Katansin Proficient

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2015
    Messages:
    159
    Likes Received:
    53
    Trophy Points:
    168
    Well! I expect to win 500 credits or more cuz that's what I have spent with the tickets
     
  14. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 1, 2010
    Messages:
    10,670
    Likes Received:
    5,397
    Trophy Points:
    588
    As long as ticket sales remain under 3000, the expected profit per ticket is positive, meaning people should on average at least cover their initial cost and get a little extra. Based on current number of sales and time remaining, I don't expect ticket sales to hit this number before the lottery ends, meaning most people will actually make a bit of money (assuming they bought multiple tickets while picking different numbers each time as that increases chance of a match).
     
    Katansin likes this.
  15. Destiny

    Destiny ✮The Hoarder✮

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2011
    Messages:
    728
    Likes Received:
    1,037
    Trophy Points:
    348
    Location:
    Sanctum
    Hi puddles, mail me an awakened celestial guard chain set please, thanks in advance :eek:
     
  16. MusitaX

    MusitaX Proficient

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2016
    Messages:
    163
    Likes Received:
    48
    Trophy Points:
    283
    Location:
    Puerto Varas, Chile.
    SHAME.... SHAME... SHAME... - CONFESS - Nyerk!
     
  17. Arguedasarg

    Arguedasarg New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2016
    Messages:
    0
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    152
    i Want xD :3
     
  18. torotot

    torotot Proficient

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2016
    Messages:
    136
    Likes Received:
    31
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Location:
    In Middle of Nowhere
    Im a pinoy xD goodluck to you xD Just mail it thanks xD
    -Shabuuuu
     
  19. Smartik1

    Smartik1 Walking F.A.Q. Forum Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 1, 2010
    Messages:
    10,670
    Likes Received:
    5,397
    Trophy Points:
    588
    1240 tickets sold, seems like sales have finally slowed down. This lottery should be quite profitable for most people :)
     
  20. Noyah

    Noyah ᴜɴғᴏʀɢᴇᴛᴛᴀʙʟᴇ Forum Legend

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    12,649
    Likes Received:
    13,147
    Trophy Points:
    713
    How do you even know how many tickets sold?
     
    Jessica likes this.

Share This Page